US Strategy

Our US strategy service offers comprehensive and systematic top-down coverage of US financial markets, from equity sectors to sovereign and corporate debt by quality and duration. The coverage focuses on how shifts in the global macro landscape, US macro regimes and Federal Reserve policy shape the risk-reward balance of US equity and bond investments across holding periods.

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Granular GICS
Sector Coverage

Reflecting the full breadth of US financial markets, our coverage extends beyond broad asset categories, providing granular views at the sector level for the 11 GICS sectors and 39 main sub-segments. It leverages Numera’s probabilistic macro framework to guide tactical and strategic positioning, with embedded adjustments for sector and industry-level dynamics.

US Asset Allocation
Provides tactical and strategic positioning for US equity indices by style and size, and fixed income by quality and duration. Suggested portfolio weights are based on a probabilistic assessment of underlying macro risks and their impact on US assets.
Long-term CMAs
Long-term probability-based equity capital market assumptions that decompose expected returns into their underlying drivers including earnings, valuations and currency effects, helping position portfolios over 5+ year horizons.
Percentage Play
Identifies high-conviction trading opportunities using Numera's proprietary probability models, focusing on directional and relative value trades for global equities and FICC.
Macro Strategists
Numera’s flagship suite of global strategy publications, connecting market-moving economic and policy themes, and their implications for multi-asset portfolios and absolute return strategies.
US Sector Strategy
Rotation and positioning across the 11 GICS sectors and 39 S&P 500 sub-industries, combining probability-based macro forecasts with industry-specific analysis to identify attractive risk-reward opportunities.

Why Choose Us

Positioning Across Asset Classes

Numera’s US Strategy service evaluates a range of macroeconomic and market outcomes across asset classes. By assessing how probabilities shift through time, investors can better identify asymmetric risks, compare opportunities across markets, and position portfolios accordingly.

One Framework Across Markets

Views for all asset classes are derived from a unified macro framework, enabling coherent comparison across equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities.

Probability-Weighted Positioning

Rather than relying on a single point forecast, Numera frames conclusions around distributions, skewed risks, and changing probabilities, helping investors evaluate where market pricing may be inconsistent with macro conditions.

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See how Numera connects macro views to investment decisions.

Who We Serve

All clients operate under uncertainty, but their objectives, time horizons, and constraints differ. Numera’s probability-based framework adapts to those differences, helping investors and organizations make clearer decisions across market environments.

Corporates
Connect macro developments to business outcomes with actionable insights that support strategic planning, pricing and capital allocation decisions.
Private Wealth
Macro complexity simplified into actionable insights, helping advisors position portfolios with confidence while clearly communicating risks to clients.
Multi-Asset Funds
Position portfolios with a unified, probability-based framework that spans asset classes, quantifies scenario outcomes, identifies high-conviction opportunities and actively manages downside risk.
Hedge Funds
Identify where market pricing diverges from macro fundamentals through probability-based analysis, supporting differentiated investment views and improved entry/exit timing.
Pensions & Endowments
Make long-term allocation, risk management and planning decisions with confidence through a probability-based view of macro regimes and structural trends.