Global Strategy

Our Global Strategy service offers investors a unique set of tools to identify global and regional investment opportunities, position around major global macro themes, and limit downside risks in multi asset portfolios. We provide probability forecasts, thematic coverage and actionable in-depth analysis for DM and EM stocks and bonds, major currency pairs, and commodities.

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Optimal Allocation & Timely Insights

The service leverages our back-tested probability framework, augmented by rigorous macro research, to provide top-down views and positioning across major asset classes and geographies. Our goal is to help a broad cross-section of global investors shape their tactical, strategic and longer-term investment and risk management strategies.

Global Asset Allocation
Provides tactical and strategic positioning across developed and emerging-market equities and fixed income. Suggested portfolio weights are derived from our proprietary joint probability framework covering 25+ global markets.
Long-term CMAs
Long-term probability-based equity capital market assumptions that decompose expected returns into their underlying drivers including earnings, valuations and currency effects, helping position portfolios over 5+ year horizons.
Percentage Play
Identifies high-conviction trading opportunities using Numera's proprietary probability models, focusing on directional and relative value trades for global equities and FICC.
Commodity Outlook
Probability-based forecasts and trade ideas for key global commodities, including crude oil, copper, iron ore, and gold, accounting for both global macro risks and market-specific dynamics.
Macro Strategists
Numera’s flagship suite of global strategy publications, connecting market-moving economic and policy themes, and their implications for multi-asset portfolios and absolute return strategies.

Why Choose Us

Positioning Across Global Markets

Numera’s Global Strategy service evaluates a range of macroeconomic and market outcomes across regions and asset classes. By assessing how probabilities shift through time, investors can better identify asymmetric risks, compare opportunities across markets, and position portfolios accordingly.

One Framework Across Markets

All regional and asset views are derived from a unified macro framework, enabling coherent comparison across equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities.

Probability-Weighted Positioning

Rather than relying on a single point forecast, Numera frames conclusions around distributions, skewed risks, and changing probabilities, helping investors evaluate where market pricing may be inconsistent with macro conditions.

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See how Numera connects macro views to investment decisions.

Who We Serve

All clients operate under uncertainty, but their objectives, time horizons, and constraints differ. Numera’s probability-based framework adapts to those differences, helping investors and organizations make clearer decisions across market environments.

Corporates
Connect macro developments to business outcomes with actionable insights that support strategic planning, pricing and capital allocation decisions.
Private Wealth
Macro complexity simplified into actionable insights, helping advisors position portfolios with confidence while clearly communicating risks to clients.
Multi-Asset Funds
Position portfolios with a unified, probability-based framework that spans asset classes, quantifies scenario outcomes, identifies high-conviction opportunities and actively manages downside risk.
Hedge Funds
Identify where market pricing diverges from macro fundamentals through probability-based analysis, supporting differentiated investment views and improved entry/exit timing.
Pensions & Endowments
Make long-term allocation, risk management and planning decisions with confidence through a probability-based view of macro regimes and structural trends.